Tuesday, 19 July 2016

Franchise Business Models

Franchising can be defined as Business Operations owned or operated or both by a third party under the licensing from the parent brand which entitles the licensee to use the brand name, operational procedures and the products of the licensor.
Franchise model is used by well established brands to expand their business presence and market share in a fast paced manner.
Benefits of Franchising to the Brand
- Rapid expansion of business
- Penetrating new markets by engaging partnership with local business men
- Reduced Capital and Operational expenditure
- Higher return on investment
- Lower risk of business exit
- Increase brand value and presence
Usually a company begins operations with Company Owned and Company Operated Model of business (COCO) but when the brand is well established, the company get into a franchise model to reduce operational cost, capital cost and to increase the return on investment through the brand value that the company has created for itself.

1. Franchise Owned Franchisee Operated (FOFO)
This model is adopted by companies for faster expansion of business/brand presence and to penetrate completely new markets with the help of local business men. In this model the training of staffs, initial store setup is done by the Company and handed over to the Franchise to over see the operations and maintain standards based on SOPs set by the Company. Then on the operations is independently managed by the franchisee. The Franchisee pays a licensing fee as per the agreed terms to the Company. Surprise and scheduled SOP audits are done by the Company to ensure high standards are maintained. When Franchise fails repeatedly in audits, the Company either levies fines or pulls out from the contract eventually closing the franchisee business.
But when well operated, the local market knowledge of the franchisee coupled with the business expertise of the Company are put to the right use there by fetching good profits for both the Company and the Franchisee.
A good example for this model are Fast Food Chains where in the business is owned and operated by the franchise but regular audits are done by the Company to ensure standards are maintained as agreed.

2. Franchise Owned Company Operated (FOCO)
This model is adopted by Companies when they want to reduce their capital expenditure and expand faster in an already established market or in a known market. In this model the franchise owns the business but the brand and the operations is handled by the company with regular reporting done to the franchisee on performance of the business. The franchisee can oversee the business and question the Company in case of poor performance. This model is usually signed under profit sharing basis where in the company gets a bigger share of the profit compared to the franchisee as it is company operated.
A good example for this model are Exclusive Brand Outlets in fashion and lifestyle retail segment where the brand operates the business with its staffs as per its standards and the business is owned by a local or national franchise.

3. Company Owned Franchise Operated (COFO)
This model is adopted by Companies when they want to reduce their operational expenditure. In this model the Company leases the operations of the business to an interested franchise to take over the operations of the business with the former holding trainings and SOP audits to ensure standards are adhered to. The business ownership still lies solely with the Company, the franchise can be changed when the Company identifies a more profitable and efficient franchisee. This model is adopted by the Company only in well established markets where the company has operated and got high return on investment.
A good example for this model is Cafeterias within Hospitals and Corporates that are owned by the company but operated by a franchise for a lease period and then new bidding happens at the end of the lease term or when the company find out that the franchise is not maintaining the expected standards.

4. Franchise Invested Company Operated (FICO)
This model is similar to FOCO but the difference here is unlike FOCO the franchise does not involve themselves in business operations at all. Only an agreed fixed amount is paid to the Franchisee by the company for the investment done by franchisee in the business. In this model there can be multiple franchise investors for a single business unit and the Company runs the business operations with end to end control of the supply chain.

Tuesday, 14 June 2016

MICROSOFT'S ACQUISITION OF NOKIA AND LINKEDIN IN BRIEF

As a business analyst it is always interesting to put your argument on the table pertaining to business decisions made by corporates. Please read the complete article before arriving upon any conclusion. This is pertaining to acquisitions done by Microsoft in the past few years - Acquisition of NOKIA and LINKEDIN

Acquisition has two meanings as a noun :
A. An asset or object obtained or bought by a museum
B. A purchase of one company by another

1.NOKIA'S FALL AND ITS ACQUISITION 

If you are feeling that meaning of A is making more sense in the case of Nokia's acquisition then you are right. Nokia innovation in hardware technology was not cascaded to its software side.
Stephen Elop became the CEO of Nokia in the 3rd quarter of 2010 and it all started with him and the then outgoing Nokia devices' head Anssi Vanjoki. When Nokia was stuck with a rigid Symbian OS which was making it difficult for developers to develop apps, it should have taken any one of these decisions :

- It should have looked inward and ideally gone ahead with the development and support of its linux
  based Mobile OS MeeGo operating system at least before it decided to rely fully on Windows
  Mobile OS. It was one of the first Mobile OS to work completely on swipe gestures without the
  need of a back-forward-home button. If you want to know more about MeeGo then check out for
  Nokia N9 videos on Youtube. Unfortunately it didn't go for this option. MeeGo development team
  later broke off from Nokia to commence their startup SAILFISH

- It could have looked outward and experimented with both Windows Phone OS and Android OS by
  launching a flagship device and a mid range device which runs both the OS similar to what
  Samsung did. This would have helped Nokia dump Windows OS for Android OS and this would
  have also helped them sustain their market share and develop their MeeGo OS simultaneously.
  This was a similar strategy that Samsung adopted, it used Symbian , then developed its own OS
  named TIZEN but it was not able to catch up. This made it switch to Android OS and it was a
  success but it still experimented with its TIZEN OS with lower end phones and now it has
  resurfaced again in the form of Watch OS for samsung Gear S2 in 2015. This shows the resilience of
  Samsung which is one of the key reasons it was able to penetrate the smartphone market.

The Fall of Nokia came in the form of :
- Bad support from Microsoft for Windows phone OS like a stab in the back
- Stephen Elop's biased decision making having his roots from Microsoft
- Steve Balmer's decision to acquire Nokia without having a solid mobile device line up ready

Microsoft eventually acquired Nokia to keep its Windows Phone OS alive by spending 7.6 Billion dollars in 2013 just to write it off as 8 Billion dollars in 2015 from its books as an acceptance of failure. The immense brand value and supply chain expertise which Nokia carried, all that was required was one elegant flagship mobile device, a tab and a couple of mid range devices. But Microsoft was not able to do that, it also lost the Nokia fans' trust once it changed the branding to Microsoft on its devices.
The biased decision making of Stephen Elop and the ego of Anssi Vanjoki (the Nokia devices head from whom Stephen Elop took over in 2010) brought Nokia to its knees by 2013 and Nokia's mobile phone story ended right there never to be sung again - for now.
Samsung and Apple only facilitated the death of 'Nokia devices' as it was already dying due to bad management decisions and internal rift. The below chart depicts the drop in Nokia devices market share.
Credit : Business Insider

This story reminds me of : Bears can only relish the honey from the Honey comb by breaking it, they can never make one. Honey bees though being robbed of their honey are resilient enough to build a new colony all over again. I am sure Nokia will be back into devices business post 2017 learning from their past mistakes and enjoy the success they once did.

2. ACQUISITION OF LINKEDIN

This story is a quite different one. Yes the price tag is mind boggling but the benefits what Microsoft might be potentially looking at will be as below :
- LinkedIn is a place having more actual data than any other online social place in the world for we will not publish false information to a large extent unlike what we might be willing to do in Facebook to seek attention of friends and family. So this amounts to huge amount of reliable data about real people from LinkedIn
- LinkedIn data can be integrated into cloud services of Microsoft such as Skype, Skype for Business
- Microsoft being more of a professional friendly solution provider unlike Apple which is more Creative Friendly, LinkedIn data will be apt to help Microsoft adapt to market trends and even get leads to sell their cloud based solutions, don't be baffled if you start seeing more of Microsoft sponsored adds on linkedIn
- LinkedIn data can be used in Microsoft CRM and ERP solution. Imagine a vendor portal and a customer portal in your ERP which can give you factual information from their LinkedIn profiles, advice you on potential customers and leads for your products. LinkedIn already has its own CRM product - LinkedIn Sales Navigator
- Imagine Cortana educating you about your invitees for a meeting and their professional links in your circle before you commence the meeting
- The potential to use all the above information to enhance machine learning and develop a more sophisticated artificial intelligence to help organisations and individuals on decision making is huge; Microsoft can pioneer this niche market by building a cloud based AI for its subscribers. Tay is an AI chat bot which Microsoft is developing and testing.
In this acquisition Option B looks more relevant.
It is a good deal but the humongous price tag of 26 billion dollars can be justified only if the synergy of Microsoft's professional solutions and LinkedIn's professional reach cum data is put to the right use.





Thursday, 2 June 2016

MARK UP % AND NET MARGIN %

There are two types of margin every retailer uses to arrive at the net selling price i.e the selling price before application of tax. Now we can see what is mark up % and net margin % , their application in retail and how to arrive at selling price from net selling price

MARK UP % 
This is the percentage of increment applied on the cost i.e. the landed cost. It is calculated from the cost price to arrive at the net selling price and tax is applied on the net selling price to arrive at the actual selling unit retail.

Mark up % = {(Net selling price - Unit Landed Cost)/Unit Landed Cost} x 100

To calculate Net Selling Price using markup %

Net Selling Price = Unit Landed Cost x (1+mark up/100)

Unit Selling Price = {Unit Landed Cost x (1+[mark up/100])} x {1+(vat rate/100)}

To calculate mark up % from net margin % = Net Margin / {1-(Net Margin/100)}

Illustration : The landed cost of a product purchased is 500 Rs. and the net margin percentage of the product is 20% and the vat % is 14%. Now we shall calculate the unit selling price of the product :

Mark up %  = 20 / {1-(20/100)}
                    = 20 / {1-(0.2)}
                    = 20 / {0.8}
                    = 25 %

Unit Selling Price = {500 x (1+[25/100])} x {1+(14/100)}
                              = {500 x (1+[0.25])} x {1+(0.14)}
                              = {500 x 1.25} x {1.14}
                              = 625 x 1.14
                              = 712.5 Rs.

NET MARGIN %
This is the percentage of margin made or the percentage of gross profit made upon sale of a product. The difference of net margin % from mark up % is that net margin % is calculated as a percentage of net selling price rather than landed cost.

Net Margin % = {(Net selling price - Unit Landed Cost)/Net selling price} x 100

To calculate Net Selling price using Net Margin %

Net Selling Price = Unit Landed Cost / (1 - Net Margin)

Unit Selling Price = {Unit Landed Cost / (1 - [Net Margin/100])} x {1+(vat rate/100)}

To calculate net margin % from mark up % = Mark up / {1+(mark up/100)}

Illustration : The landed cost of a product purchased is 500 Rs. and the mark up percentage of the product is 25% and the vat % is 14%. Now we shall calculate the unit selling price of the product :

Net Margin % = 25 / {1+(25/100)}
                        = 25 / {1+(0.25)}
                        = 25 / {1.25}
                        = 20 %

Unit Selling Price = {500 / (1 - [20/100])} x {1+(14/100)}
                              = {500 / (1 - [0.2])} x {1+(0.14)}
                              = {500/0.8} x {1.14}
                              = 625 x 1.14
                              = 712.5 Rs.

SL NO
MARKUP %
NET MARGIN %
1
It is applied on Unit Landed Cost It is arrived from Selling Unit Retail / Net Unit Retail
2
It can be more than 100 %  It is always less than 100 %
3
Cannot be used effectively for discount% calculations from selling price as it can be more  than 100 % It is more effective for applying applied discount% from selling price 
4
Used when Mark up calculation method used is COST Used when mark up calculation method used in RETAIL

Thursday, 28 April 2016

PRODUCT CLASSIFICATION


To efficiently manage inventory, launch products and improve sales retailers should continuously study and understand their products. The knowledge gained through such continuous analysis will help in achieving good inventory turnover, reduce inventory holding cost and better understand customer's needs.

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON MANUFACTURING (applicable for "private labels")

1. Core or Flagship products
2. Basics

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON PURCHASE AND SALES TYPES

1. Consignment
2. Concession
3. Regular
4. Deposit
5. Non-Trading

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON SALES

1. Top Selling
2. A Class , B Class and C Class products based on average sales in descending
3. Clearance goods

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON SEASONALITY

1. New Launch - Specific Season
2. Continued - All Season
3. Continued - Specific Season

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON FLOOR PLANNING

1. Preferred Category
2. Impulse Category
3. Destination Category

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON BUSINESS STRATEGY

1. High Volume Goods
2. High Value Goods
3. High Margin Goods
4. Footfall drivers
5. Image Building Goods

CLASSIFICATION BASED ON INVENTORY TURNOVER
1. Runners
2. Repeaters
3. Strangers






Wednesday, 20 January 2016

WHAT ANALYSTS CAN LEARN FROM CHILLING BEER BOTTLES ?



As retailers we come across multiple issues in our day to day operations that cannot wait for an analysed corrective actions, so an immediate solution is needed that too a wise one. But we end up giving the same fix over and over again.
What we need to understand is that most of us keep doing repetitive spot fixes for the same problem over and over again without actually resolving the underlying cause to an issue. The solution can be explained with a simple example and I am sure this will change your perception and plan of action towards your day to day issues.
The answer is: How an out door caterer chills the beers in the Ice box for an event in less than 10 minutes and ensures that the chillness is retained throughout the event for the beers placed in the ice box. How does he do it? Its simple, he puts a layer of solid Ice at the bottom of the ice box and places the beer bottles above it. This will keep the beer bottles chilled for longer and to get that instant chillness, he fills with another layer above the beer bottles with crushed ice. That's the trick and yes some of you will be aware of this process.
We need to apply the same principle vice versa for our retail problems. Crushed Ice is a spot fix to an issue but it will not keep out the problem for long and it will repeat. The bottom layer of solid ice is the permanent fix to the problem which will keep out the issue for ever just like it does for the beer bottles throughout the outdoor event.
When you face a problem on the shop floor, it requires a spot fix and you have to give one before it escalates further and leaves the customer unhappy. But you should not forget the solid ice. Now you have to invest time and efforts to find the actual root cause to this recurring issue and provide the permanent fix to avoid a fire fighting situation again.
This will ensure that the issue doesn't resurface and also increase your management efficiency and customer satisfaction. A simple perspective that can give an effective solution to your day to day operational issues. CHEERS ! 

Saturday, 16 January 2016

Customer Relationship Management : RFM Analysis and RFMV Analysis

What is RFM analysis ?

RFM analysis is done in order to understand the health of a customer's relationship with a retailer and the value of a customer to a retailer by analyzing the historical sales data for the respective customers. The outcome of this analysis is used in direct marketing, customer centric promotions and loyalty programs.

The modules used in the analysis are :

RECENCY :
How recent did a customer purchase ?
This explains when was the last purchase made by the customer, by this we can select the list of customers who has purchased from the retailer in the last 90 days or 180 days or 365 days.

FREQUENCY :
How frequently a customer purchases ?
This explains what is the frequency of purchases the customer makes with a retailer. This is calculated based on number of purchases made by a customer in the last 90 days or 180 days or 365 days.

MONETARY VALUE :
How much does a customer spend ?
This explains how much does a customer spend for a stipulated time period similar to the previous two scales. This also provides information on customer spend per purchase and over a period of time i.e. a customer might not make big shopping per visit but totaling their purchase over the same period of time will project a bigger purchase value compared to a customer who has done a single big purchase.

VOLUME :
How many products a customer has purchased ?
This is an add on to the RFM analysis which indicates how many products a customer has purchased or volume quotient of a customer's purchase pattern over a period of time. This in combination with Monetary value of the customer shows whether the customer purchases high value products or a general shopper buying small value products for regular use


SCALE OF MEASUREMENT
Recency, frequency and monetary bench mark scales may vary from retailer to retailer based on their product assortment and the lifespan of the product sold. Based on a retailer's product portfolio they can choose a scale based on a benchmark set for each of the module. We can look at how this can be done through a simple example :

A is a supermarket store having products in convenience, home appliances and grocery categories.

Sameer had purchased at A 5 times in the last 30 days as on 30-Nov-15, his last purchase was on 27-Nov-15. He has purchased for 1000 Rs., 2500 Rs., 1500 Rs., 1500 Rs. and 2200 Rs. respectively. Total quantity of products purchased by him is 20

Rachel had purchased at A only once in the last 30 days as on 30-Nov-15, her last purchase was on 2-Nov-15. She has purchased for 10500 Rs. Total quantity of products purchased by her is 1

Based on the above purchase data we can easily arrive at the below observation through data analysis:


Sameer and Rachel are both high value shoppers but there Is a lot in difference between the two which this analysis throws light on, that can help the retailer can use to arrive at customer centric promotion to increase sales and frequency of customer visits.

SAMEER'S PURCHASE ANALYSIS :
- He is a recent shopper who has visited the supermarket in less than 15 days
- He has purchased 5 times in the last 30 days so he is a frequent shopper
- He is a high value shopper as per the retailer's bench mark. His total purchases are worth 8700 Rs.
- He is a high volume shopper as well and based on his value and volume of purchase we can see that he buys less expensive products that are more of a necessity than luxury

RACHEL'S PURCHASE ANALYSIS :
- She is an old shopper who has not visited the supermarket in the past 15 days
- She has purchased only once in the last 30 days so she is a occasional shopper
- She is a high value shopper as per the retailer's bench mark. Her total purchase is worth 8700 Rs.
- She is a low volume shopper as well and based on her value and volume of purchase we can see that she buys expensive products that are more of a luxury than a necessity

Customers who have not purchased in the stipulated time period can be contacted by customer service manager or marketing team can mail the customer attractive promotions based on their historical purchases to resume trade.

NOTE : RFMV analysis is not a standardized analysis matrix in CRM. This is a customized version used by me in analyzing customer value. I feel this provides better depth into customer purchase pattern there by helping a retailer analyse his customer' value better

Saturday, 9 January 2016

Porter's Five Forces - simplified !

This was originally formulated by Mr. Michael Porter, professor at Harward Business school in the late 1970s to analyse an industry based on five forces that influence an industry and its players. Porter's five forces have five forces or market elements that needs to be analysed to arrive at a successful business strategy. The derived business strategy can be implemented to achieve a clear and distinct position in the market and in the customers' minds. The outcome which also gives a clear picture of the current market situation which will help the organisation decide how they can use the market situation to their advantage or position themselves in the market where by increasing profitability and brand image.
To hear the original one from Mr. Porter himself, follow the below link :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYF2_FBCvXw

The below is my view of Porters's five forces and how they can be applied to analyse an industry and how well we can position our organisation.

MY VIEW OF APPLYING PORTER'S FIVE FORCES :


1. Competitors Rivalry
This gives insight into the rivalry that exists in the industry i.e. how competitive the players in the industry are and what are their strengths and weaknesses. It also answers the questions to how can a new entrant cope up with this competitive market and turn their business into a success model. A few of the questions that can help us draw a picture of competitors rivalry are as below :
- How competitive the industry in terms of margins and profitability ?
- How is the competitive intensity ?
- Who is the biggest player in the industry and what is the market share held by them ?
- What is the industry experience of each player in the industry and their strength ?
- What is the industry Growth in the near future ?
- Does it demand for capacity addition in large scale ?
- Brand value of competitors
- Is there a monopoly or hurdles put in place by big players to indirectly control small players' market share?
- Is it a high stakes industry where organisational structure requires highly skilled and efficient human resource ?

2. Threat of New Entrants
This gives insight into how easy it is to enter an industry or exit an industry and also how easy it is for a new entrant in the market to replace an experienced strong player in the industry. A few of the questions that can help us draw a picture or gain insight of this force are as below :
- How easy is it to enter the new market or the industry ?
- What is the economies of scale to be profitable ?
- How big and specialised capital investment needed for setup and distribution ?
- How brand conscious or brand loyal is the industry and its customers ?
- What is the increase in the inflow of supply with new entrants ?
- What are the legal complications for new entrants ?

3. Threat of Substitute Products
This gives insight into how the available substitutes for the original affects the latter's market share and sales. A few of the questions that can help us draw a picture or gain insight of this force are as below :
- How many products or service providers are available in the market catering to the same customer's need ?
- How loyal are the customers to brand ?
-  Can customer's need be satisfied by products from other industries serving the same purpose ?
- How easy is it for competitors to develop a new substitute or a clone ?
- What is the price and quality difference between the available substitutes ?
- How regulated is the market with respect to patent rights ?
- What is the switching cost for consumers ?

4. Bargaining Power of Consumers
This gives insight into whether the market favours the buyers or the sellers or a win win for both. This also explains the demand and supply quotient of the industry. A few of the questions that can help us draw a picture or gain insight of this force are as below :
-  What is the percentage of population dependent on the products supplied by the industry
-  What is the cost of switching between services or product to fulfil customer's need ?
-  What is the demand and supply, is there a surplus in supply or a shortage in supply to demand ?
-  Customer's price sensitivity, what is the elasticity of demand ?
-  What is the cost of backward integration for the customer ?
-  What is the frequency and volume of purchase ?
-  Are the products supplied by the industry come under luxury products or a necessity ?

5. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
This gives insight into whether the market favours the supplier or the organisation or a win win for both. This also provides insight into availability of capital goods and input costs. A few of the questions that can help us draw a picture or gain insight of this force are as below :
- How easily are the raw materials/capital goods available ?
- How many suppliers are available and how easy it is to find an alternative ?
- What is the possibility of backward integration  in order to negate the supplier in the process ?
- How easy is it to acquire skilled manpower in the respective field ?
- What is cost of switching between suppliers ?
- Are we to deal with government organisations in a industry involving consumption of natural resources ?
- What is your economies of scale ?
- What is the possibility of forward integration  by the supplier there by directly catering to the customers' needs ?

Once the five forces are analysed, a chart can be prepared in the below format to assess the opportunities and threats for our products/services in the industry. This will help us to define a robust business strategy to negate competition and make profits or to decide whether to enter a new industry or to exit a matured industry.

FORCES
OBERSVATIONS
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
FORCE - 1 Observation 1 How ? How ?

Observation 2



Observation 3


FORCE - 2 Observation 1 How ? How ?

Observation 2



Observation 3