Tuesday 14 June 2016

MICROSOFT'S ACQUISITION OF NOKIA AND LINKEDIN IN BRIEF

As a business analyst it is always interesting to put your argument on the table pertaining to business decisions made by corporates. Please read the complete article before arriving upon any conclusion. This is pertaining to acquisitions done by Microsoft in the past few years - Acquisition of NOKIA and LINKEDIN

Acquisition has two meanings as a noun :
A. An asset or object obtained or bought by a museum
B. A purchase of one company by another

1.NOKIA'S FALL AND ITS ACQUISITION 

If you are feeling that meaning of A is making more sense in the case of Nokia's acquisition then you are right. Nokia innovation in hardware technology was not cascaded to its software side.
Stephen Elop became the CEO of Nokia in the 3rd quarter of 2010 and it all started with him and the then outgoing Nokia devices' head Anssi Vanjoki. When Nokia was stuck with a rigid Symbian OS which was making it difficult for developers to develop apps, it should have taken any one of these decisions :

- It should have looked inward and ideally gone ahead with the development and support of its linux
  based Mobile OS MeeGo operating system at least before it decided to rely fully on Windows
  Mobile OS. It was one of the first Mobile OS to work completely on swipe gestures without the
  need of a back-forward-home button. If you want to know more about MeeGo then check out for
  Nokia N9 videos on Youtube. Unfortunately it didn't go for this option. MeeGo development team
  later broke off from Nokia to commence their startup SAILFISH

- It could have looked outward and experimented with both Windows Phone OS and Android OS by
  launching a flagship device and a mid range device which runs both the OS similar to what
  Samsung did. This would have helped Nokia dump Windows OS for Android OS and this would
  have also helped them sustain their market share and develop their MeeGo OS simultaneously.
  This was a similar strategy that Samsung adopted, it used Symbian , then developed its own OS
  named TIZEN but it was not able to catch up. This made it switch to Android OS and it was a
  success but it still experimented with its TIZEN OS with lower end phones and now it has
  resurfaced again in the form of Watch OS for samsung Gear S2 in 2015. This shows the resilience of
  Samsung which is one of the key reasons it was able to penetrate the smartphone market.

The Fall of Nokia came in the form of :
- Bad support from Microsoft for Windows phone OS like a stab in the back
- Stephen Elop's biased decision making having his roots from Microsoft
- Steve Balmer's decision to acquire Nokia without having a solid mobile device line up ready

Microsoft eventually acquired Nokia to keep its Windows Phone OS alive by spending 7.6 Billion dollars in 2013 just to write it off as 8 Billion dollars in 2015 from its books as an acceptance of failure. The immense brand value and supply chain expertise which Nokia carried, all that was required was one elegant flagship mobile device, a tab and a couple of mid range devices. But Microsoft was not able to do that, it also lost the Nokia fans' trust once it changed the branding to Microsoft on its devices.
The biased decision making of Stephen Elop and the ego of Anssi Vanjoki (the Nokia devices head from whom Stephen Elop took over in 2010) brought Nokia to its knees by 2013 and Nokia's mobile phone story ended right there never to be sung again - for now.
Samsung and Apple only facilitated the death of 'Nokia devices' as it was already dying due to bad management decisions and internal rift. The below chart depicts the drop in Nokia devices market share.
Credit : Business Insider

This story reminds me of : Bears can only relish the honey from the Honey comb by breaking it, they can never make one. Honey bees though being robbed of their honey are resilient enough to build a new colony all over again. I am sure Nokia will be back into devices business post 2017 learning from their past mistakes and enjoy the success they once did.

2. ACQUISITION OF LINKEDIN

This story is a quite different one. Yes the price tag is mind boggling but the benefits what Microsoft might be potentially looking at will be as below :
- LinkedIn is a place having more actual data than any other online social place in the world for we will not publish false information to a large extent unlike what we might be willing to do in Facebook to seek attention of friends and family. So this amounts to huge amount of reliable data about real people from LinkedIn
- LinkedIn data can be integrated into cloud services of Microsoft such as Skype, Skype for Business
- Microsoft being more of a professional friendly solution provider unlike Apple which is more Creative Friendly, LinkedIn data will be apt to help Microsoft adapt to market trends and even get leads to sell their cloud based solutions, don't be baffled if you start seeing more of Microsoft sponsored adds on linkedIn
- LinkedIn data can be used in Microsoft CRM and ERP solution. Imagine a vendor portal and a customer portal in your ERP which can give you factual information from their LinkedIn profiles, advice you on potential customers and leads for your products. LinkedIn already has its own CRM product - LinkedIn Sales Navigator
- Imagine Cortana educating you about your invitees for a meeting and their professional links in your circle before you commence the meeting
- The potential to use all the above information to enhance machine learning and develop a more sophisticated artificial intelligence to help organisations and individuals on decision making is huge; Microsoft can pioneer this niche market by building a cloud based AI for its subscribers. Tay is an AI chat bot which Microsoft is developing and testing.
In this acquisition Option B looks more relevant.
It is a good deal but the humongous price tag of 26 billion dollars can be justified only if the synergy of Microsoft's professional solutions and LinkedIn's professional reach cum data is put to the right use.





Thursday 2 June 2016

MARK UP % AND NET MARGIN %

There are two types of margin every retailer uses to arrive at the net selling price i.e the selling price before application of tax. Now we can see what is mark up % and net margin % , their application in retail and how to arrive at selling price from net selling price

MARK UP % 
This is the percentage of increment applied on the cost i.e. the landed cost. It is calculated from the cost price to arrive at the net selling price and tax is applied on the net selling price to arrive at the actual selling unit retail.

Mark up % = {(Net selling price - Unit Landed Cost)/Unit Landed Cost} x 100

To calculate Net Selling Price using markup %

Net Selling Price = Unit Landed Cost x (1+mark up/100)

Unit Selling Price = {Unit Landed Cost x (1+[mark up/100])} x {1+(vat rate/100)}

To calculate mark up % from net margin % = Net Margin / {1-(Net Margin/100)}

Illustration : The landed cost of a product purchased is 500 Rs. and the net margin percentage of the product is 20% and the vat % is 14%. Now we shall calculate the unit selling price of the product :

Mark up %  = 20 / {1-(20/100)}
                    = 20 / {1-(0.2)}
                    = 20 / {0.8}
                    = 25 %

Unit Selling Price = {500 x (1+[25/100])} x {1+(14/100)}
                              = {500 x (1+[0.25])} x {1+(0.14)}
                              = {500 x 1.25} x {1.14}
                              = 625 x 1.14
                              = 712.5 Rs.

NET MARGIN %
This is the percentage of margin made or the percentage of gross profit made upon sale of a product. The difference of net margin % from mark up % is that net margin % is calculated as a percentage of net selling price rather than landed cost.

Net Margin % = {(Net selling price - Unit Landed Cost)/Net selling price} x 100

To calculate Net Selling price using Net Margin %

Net Selling Price = Unit Landed Cost / (1 - Net Margin)

Unit Selling Price = {Unit Landed Cost / (1 - [Net Margin/100])} x {1+(vat rate/100)}

To calculate net margin % from mark up % = Mark up / {1+(mark up/100)}

Illustration : The landed cost of a product purchased is 500 Rs. and the mark up percentage of the product is 25% and the vat % is 14%. Now we shall calculate the unit selling price of the product :

Net Margin % = 25 / {1+(25/100)}
                        = 25 / {1+(0.25)}
                        = 25 / {1.25}
                        = 20 %

Unit Selling Price = {500 / (1 - [20/100])} x {1+(14/100)}
                              = {500 / (1 - [0.2])} x {1+(0.14)}
                              = {500/0.8} x {1.14}
                              = 625 x 1.14
                              = 712.5 Rs.

SL NO
MARKUP %
NET MARGIN %
1
It is applied on Unit Landed Cost It is arrived from Selling Unit Retail / Net Unit Retail
2
It can be more than 100 %  It is always less than 100 %
3
Cannot be used effectively for discount% calculations from selling price as it can be more  than 100 % It is more effective for applying applied discount% from selling price 
4
Used when Mark up calculation method used is COST Used when mark up calculation method used in RETAIL